is back in Federal Court for Day 3 of a Council of Canadians-backed legal challenge of the 2011 federal election results in six Conservative ridings. Steven Shrybman, lawyer for the applicants, continues presenting evidence to start the day. Starts at 9:30 a.m. ET.
by Chris Carter 12/12/2012 2:12:32 PM
We're back at Federal Court, where CPC lawyer Arthur Hamilton is telling the judge we don't expect to get thru everything this week.
The lawyers are willing to sit extended hours or on the weekend. Judge asks about next week. Hamilton has court dates all next week.
We may come back Dec. 20. Clerk is checking sked. Judge says power's shut off on the weekend so that's not an option. I'll keep you posted.
Today we're looking at survey research methodology. Ekos' Frank Graves did a poll for the applicants challenging the 6 elxn wins.
CPC expert Corbin disputes Graves' methods. So here we go...I wish I'd paid closer attn to my quantitative research methods course in uni.
Graves was to find out to what extent voter suppression may have been used in the 6 ridings, whether it affected partic parties...
...& whether it prevented ppl fr casting a ballot who would have voted otherwise. Sampled 2872 ppl. Parallel survey 1500 in other ridings
Shrybman quoting from Graves' report: highly likely the initial voter ID linked to subsequent misleading call to non-CPC voters.
RT @glen_mcgregor: Polls were changed in only one of the six ridings, so this information a poll relocation "was almost always false," G ...
I'd like to see which ridings used for comparison. Elxns Cda now investigating complaints of misleading or harassing calls in 243 ridings.
A remarkable feature of the calls, Shrybman says, is that they were reportedly dramatically more likely to hit non-Conservative supporters
If he had another day, Shrybman says, he'd walk us thru this in more detail. If YOU want more, readers, report's on Council of Cdns website.
Shrybman says much of the debate around Ekos evidence is whether it establishes ppl didn't vote because of the calls. He says it shows that.
Graves did a correlative analysis, Shrybman says, to try to assess from another angle.
Shrybman says CPC expert Corbin expert in mkt research, not same domain as Graves.Didn't review 2nd expert's report supporting Graves' work
RT@VoiceOfFranky: The comparisons best thought of as places representative of ridings with much lower (rather than no) incidence of calls.
RT@VoiceOfFranky: 'control' group only applies to random assignment.Can't be used with events in past. Random comparison useful alternative.